The speed, sophistication, and impacts of AI technology development together comprise some of the most astonishing and significant events of our lifetimes. Clearly, AI development promises both enormous risks and opportunities for society. To help humankind navigate this crucial period, Metaculus is building a team dedicated to AI forecasting.

As a Research Analyst in AI Forecasting, you’ll engage deeply with ideas about the future of AI and its potential impacts, and share insights with the AI research and forecasting communities and with key decision makers. You’ll use crowd forecasting to help generate these insights, writing forecasting questions that are informative and revealing, facilitating forecasting tournaments, and coordinating with Pro Forecasters. You’ll engage in deep qualitative analysis of potential AI trajectories and resulting impacts in key areas, reviewing relevant research literature, speaking with experts, and thinking critically and independently to arrive at your own ideas and perspectives. You’ll liaise with quantitative researchers, and integrate quantitative outputs – including forecasts – with your qualitative research, providing holistic, multifaceted analyses of some of the most important questions facing humanity today.

You’ll communicate insights distilled from your own research, outputs from the rest of the AI Forecasting team, and opinions from SME’s and the forecasting community, via written reports. Some of these will be visible to the public, with the aim of generating engagement and excitement from the AI research, forecasting, and policy communities, while others will be confidential, feeding directly into crucial decisions made by influential organizations.

A note about location

Metaculus is currently hiring within several "regional hub" zones in order to enable team members to frequently meet and collaborate in person. This role could be based in London or New York City. For exceptional candidates, we are open to discussing alternative solutions.

• Familiarity with AI concepts and algorithms, and with the latest trends in ML research
• Excellent written and verbal communication skills
• Demonstrated ability to understand highly technical content across multiple domains
• Experience with writing reports on technical subjects for technical and non-technical audiences
• Metaculus’s mission resonates strongly with you

Metaculus offers competitive compensation and flexible benefits, including health insurance cost reimbursement. Metaculus is an equal opportunity employer that knows and appreciates the benefits of a diverse workforce.